StatSheet Projects Arizona State as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/17/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 17th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting Arizona State as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament, but on the outside looking in. The Sun Devils are sitting at #70 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 19-7 overall record and an 8-5 record in the Pac 12.

Over the last four games, Arizona State got a quality win against RPI #16 Colorado and a win against California but also dropped one against RPI #68 Stanford and a bad loss to RPI #162 Utah.

Arizona State is stable against strong competition, with a 6-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 50 but an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. While the Sun Devils have three quality wins including RPI #16 Colorado (2 wins) and RPI #40 UCLA, they're dinged by two bad losses including RPI #162 Utah and RPI #182 DePaul.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (20-6, 9-2 C-USA, StatRank #40), Alabama (17-8, 9-3 SEC, StatRank #58), Iowa State (17-8, 7-5 Big 12, StatRank #56), and Villanova (16-10, 7-6 Big East, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Florida State (14-11, 6-6 ACC, StatRank #77), Maryland (18-7, 6-6 ACC, StatRank #64), Stanford (15-11, 6-7 Pac 12, StatRank #73), and Temple (17-8, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #53).

The next four out are Arizona State (19-7, 8-5 Pac 12, StatRank #70), Creighton (21-6, 10-5 Missouri Valley, StatRank #43), Saint Louis (19-5, 8-2 A-10, StatRank #46), and Tennessee (14-10, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #72).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Georgetown
#5Butler
#6Colorado
#7Illinois
#8Colorado State
#9Cincinnati
#10Belmont
#11Baylor
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17High Point
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Florida
#3Kansas
#4Minnesota
#5Marquette
#6New Mexico
#7North Carolina
#8Kentucky
#9MTSU
#10La Salle
#11Boise State
#12Iowa State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14NSU
#15Harvard
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Kansas State
#4Ohio State
#5NC State
#6Pittsburgh
#7Notre Dame
#8Memphis
#9Missouri
#10Ole Miss
#11California
#12Villanova
#13Southern Miss
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Louisville
#4Oklahoma
#5Oklahoma State
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8UNLV
#9UCLA
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12VCU
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
Mountain West5 862.5%
SEC5 1241.7%
Pac 125 1241.7%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big South1 119.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: ASU is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Pac-12 Standings

OverallConf
1 Arizona 33-5 15-3
2 UCLA 28-9 12-6
3 Oregon 24-10 10-8
3 Colorado 23-12 10-8
3 Stanford 23-13 10-8
 3Arizona State 21-12 10-8
3 California 21-14 10-8
8 Utah 21-12 9-9
8 Washington 17-15 9-9
10 Oregon State 16-16 8-10
11 WSU 10-21 3-15
12 USC 11-21 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#13 J. Bachynski Sr C 7-2 248
#4 Bo Barnes Jr G 6-4 195
#1 Jahii Carson So G 5-10 180
#5 Richie Edwards F 6-7 220
#31 J. Gilling Jr F 6-7 219
#3 Eric Jacobsen So F 6-10 235
#32 Brandan Kearney Jr F 6-5 190
#15 Egor Koulechov Fr G/F 6-5 205
#34 J. Marshall Sr G 6-4 215
#40 S. McKissic Jr F 6-5 200
#3 Chance Murray Fr G 6-2 180
#11 Calaen Robinson So G 6-2 190
#24 Sai Tummala So F 6-7 215
#22 Jarett Upchurch Sr G 6-1 192
#33 David Whitmore So F 6-6 215